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Myth and reality of flat tax reform: micro estimates of tax evasion response and welfare effects in Russia

Citation

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy,; Martinez-Vazquez, Jorge; & Peter, Klara Sabirianova (2009). Myth and reality of flat tax reform: micro estimates of tax evasion response and welfare effects in Russia. Journal of Political Economy, 117(3), 504-554.

Abstract

We examine the effects of Russia’s 2001 flat rate income tax reform on consumption, income, and tax evasion. We use the gap between household expenditures and reported earnings as a proxy for tax evasion with data from a household panel for 1998–2004. We associate large and significant changes in tax evasion following the flat tax reform with changes in voluntary compliance. We develop a consumption‐based framework to assess the deadweight loss from income tax in the presence of tax evasion and show that the efficiency gains from the reform are at least 30 percent smaller than the gains implied by conventional approaches.

URL

http://dx.doi.org/10.1086/599760

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year Published

2009

Journal Title

Journal of Political Economy

Author(s)

Gorodnichenko, Yuriy,
Martinez-Vazquez, Jorge
Peter, Klara Sabirianova